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Red32
360230.4
516615.9
124310.3
Blue45
552513.2
556219.3
550919.0
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions372602060801001203245

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.40.4
16.015.6
Auto0.8
Teleop29.6
End0.0
red by 11.1
5562
#12
19.31.3
12.213.5
Auto1.1
Teleop18.2
End0.0
Second
5166
#19
15.90.4
9.59.1
Auto0.1
Teleop15.8
End0.0
blue by 3.1
19.01.3
13.414.7
Auto2.0
Teleop17.0
End0.0
Third
1243
#35
10.30.4
11.511.1
Auto0.5
Teleop9.8
End0.0
blue by 3.0
5525
#17
13.21.3
3.65.0
Auto0.2
Teleop13.0
End0.0