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Red53
557515.1
497012.9
524710.2
Blue49
515613.2
50318.0
498316.7
51%Model gave it49%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions282701020405060705349

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5575
#15
15.12.0
10.512.5
Auto0.5
Teleop14.6
End0.0
blue by 3.0
503
#29
18.01.7
13.815.5
Auto0.4
Teleop17.7
End0.0
Second
4970
#28
12.92.0
8.510.5
Auto0.5
Teleop12.4
End0.0
blue by 3.8
16.71.7
8.410.1
Auto-0.2
Teleop16.9
End0.0
Third
5247
#33
10.22.0
9.711.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.3
End0.0
blue by 3.0
5156
#23
13.21.7
6.48.1
Auto0.1
Teleop13.1
End0.0