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Red22
508611.3
554712.2
571220.6
Blue54
102533.1
566111.8
550413.5
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32290204060801001202254

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.60.9
14.613.6
Auto0.2
Teleop20.4
End0.0
blue by 12.6
33.12.0
18.120.1
Auto1.7
Teleop31.5
End0.0
Second
5547
#22
12.20.9
10.910.0
Auto0.1
Teleop12.1
End0.0
blue by 1.4
5504
#16
13.52.0
4.76.7
Auto0.8
Teleop12.7
End0.0
Third
5086
#27
11.30.9
7.56.6
Auto0.3
Teleop11.0
End0.0
blue by 0.4
5661
#26
11.82.0
7.69.6
Auto0.4
Teleop11.4
End0.0