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Red4
553812.8
51837.0
55604.8
Blue45
471517.5
360230.4
550919.0
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7440206080100120140445

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5538
#25
12.80.7
2.51.8
Auto0.5
Teleop12.3
End0.0
blue by 17.6
30.40.5
15.616.1
Auto0.8
Teleop29.6
End0.0
Second
5183
#39
7.00.7
7.16.4
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.1
End0.0
blue by 12.0
19.00.5
14.715.2
Auto2.0
Teleop17.0
End0.0
Third
5560
#40
4.80.7
3.02.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop4.9
End0.0
blue by 12.7
4715
#11
17.50.5
9.09.4
Auto0.7
Teleop16.8
End0.0