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Red56
498316.7
566111.8
377021.5
Blue66
556219.3
524710.2
360230.4
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions354102060801001201405666

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
21.52.1
18.921.0
Auto0.3
Teleop21.2
End0.0
blue by 8.9
30.42.0
16.118.1
Auto0.8
Teleop29.6
End0.0
Second
16.72.1
11.113.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop16.9
End0.0
blue by 2.6
5562
#12
19.32.0
14.016.1
Auto1.1
Teleop18.2
End0.0
Third
5661
#26
11.82.1
7.29.3
Auto0.4
Teleop11.4
End0.0
red by 1.6
5247
#33
10.22.0
11.513.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.3
End0.0