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Red16
570211.6
51837.0
482715.5
Blue28
526022.4
550413.5
560323.7
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1638060801001201401628

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4827
#10
15.50.4
8.17.7
Auto0.8
Teleop14.7
End0.0
blue by 8.2
23.70.7
17.216.5
Auto0.8
Teleop22.9
End0.0
Second
5702
#34
11.60.4
6.05.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.8
End0.0
blue by 10.8
22.40.7
12.311.7
Auto-0.0
Teleop22.4
End0.0
Third
5183
#39
7.00.4
6.46.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.1
End0.0
blue by 6.5
5504
#16
13.50.7
6.55.8
Auto0.8
Teleop12.7
End0.0