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Red22
522415.0
542413.3
571220.6
Blue12
224616.0
508611.3
357015.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32270204060801001201402212

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.60.9
12.211.3
Auto0.2
Teleop20.4
End0.0
red by 4.6
2246
#14
16.01.4
10.18.8
Auto0.2
Teleop15.8
End0.0
Second
5224
#24
15.00.9
9.89.0
Auto0.7
Teleop14.4
End0.0
blue by 0.6
3570
#31
15.71.4
14.012.7
Auto0.3
Teleop15.3
End0.0
Third
5424
#20
13.30.9
10.69.7
Auto0.7
Teleop12.6
End0.0
red by 2.0
5086
#27
11.31.4
4.32.9
Auto0.3
Teleop11.0
End0.0