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Red40
124310.3
437511.3
508611.3
Blue56
570618.0
497012.9
224616.0
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions233204060801001204056

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5086
#27
11.31.1
2.94.0
Auto0.3
Teleop11.0
End0.0
blue by 6.7
18.02.0
11.813.8
Auto0.3
Teleop17.8
End0.0
Second
4375
#30
11.31.2
10.411.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.5
End0.0
blue by 4.7
2246
#14
16.01.9
8.810.7
Auto0.2
Teleop15.8
End0.0
Third
1243
#35
10.31.2
12.213.4
Auto0.5
Teleop9.8
End0.0
blue by 2.7
4970
#28
12.92.0
11.113.2
Auto0.5
Teleop12.4
End0.0