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Red81
571220.6
50318.0
360230.4
Blue38
51837.0
498316.7
522415.0
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4424060801001201408138

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
30.43.9
18.122.0
Auto0.8
Teleop29.6
End0.0
red by 13.7
16.71.2
13.214.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop16.9
End0.0
Second
20.63.9
11.315.2
Auto0.2
Teleop20.4
End0.0
red by 5.5
5224
#24
15.01.2
9.010.2
Auto0.7
Teleop14.4
End0.0
Third
503
#29
18.03.9
13.317.2
Auto0.4
Teleop17.7
End0.0
red by 11.0
5183
#39
7.01.2
6.07.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.1
End0.0