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Red30
552417.7
50318.0
497012.9
Blue26
516615.9
571220.6
523110.0
43%Model gave it57%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions354402060801001201401603026

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
503
#29
18.00.1
16.216.1
Auto0.4
Teleop17.7
End0.0
blue by 2.5
20.61.2
19.017.7
Auto0.2
Teleop20.4
End0.0
Second
5524
#21
17.70.1
11.010.8
Auto0.9
Teleop16.8
End0.0
red by 1.9
5166
#19
15.91.2
17.416.2
Auto0.1
Teleop15.8
End0.0
Third
4970
#28
12.90.1
10.610.5
Auto0.5
Teleop12.4
End0.0
red by 2.9
5231
#36
10.01.2
7.86.6
Auto0.2
Teleop9.8
End0.0