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Red70
550413.5
522415.0
471517.5
Blue12
570211.6
124310.3
550919.0
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29350501001507012

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4715
#11
17.52.6
13.616.3
Auto0.7
Teleop16.8
End0.0
blue by 1.5
19.01.5
13.612.0
Auto2.0
Teleop17.0
End0.0
Second
5224
#24
15.02.6
9.712.3
Auto0.7
Teleop14.4
End0.0
red by 3.5
5702
#34
11.61.5
10.38.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.8
End0.0
Third
5504
#16
13.52.6
7.310.0
Auto0.8
Teleop12.7
End0.0
red by 3.3
1243
#35
10.31.5
11.29.6
Auto0.5
Teleop9.8
End0.0