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Red72
526022.4
57148.5
552513.2
Blue64
542413.3
498316.7
508611.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2434060801001201407264

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.43.0
15.318.3
Auto-0.0
Teleop22.4
End0.0
red by 5.7
16.72.0
14.016.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop16.9
End0.0
Second
5525
#17
13.23.0
7.810.8
Auto0.2
Teleop13.0
End0.0
blue by 0.1
5424
#20
13.32.0
12.915.0
Auto0.7
Teleop12.6
End0.0
Third
5714
#32
8.53.0
3.86.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop8.6
End0.0
blue by 2.9
5086
#27
11.32.0
7.09.0
Auto0.3
Teleop11.0
End0.0