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Red12
515613.2
524710.2
124310.3
Blue26
482715.5
357015.7
554712.2
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions333702060801001201226

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5156
#23
13.21.5
11.09.5
Auto0.1
Teleop13.1
End0.0
blue by 2.5
3570
#31
15.70.8
13.512.7
Auto0.3
Teleop15.3
End0.0
Second
1243
#35
10.31.4
9.68.2
Auto0.5
Teleop9.8
End0.0
blue by 5.3
4827
#10
15.50.8
13.112.3
Auto0.8
Teleop14.7
End0.0
Third
5247
#33
10.21.5
14.412.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.3
End0.0
blue by 1.9
5547
#22
12.20.7
10.910.2
Auto0.1
Teleop12.1
End0.0