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Red68
526022.4
508611.3
552417.7
Blue76
377021.5
55604.8
560323.7
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions364101001502006876

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.41.8
18.320.1
Auto-0.0
Teleop22.4
End0.0
blue by 1.3
23.72.1
18.520.6
Auto0.8
Teleop22.9
End0.0
Second
5524
#21
17.71.8
10.812.7
Auto0.9
Teleop16.8
End0.0
blue by 3.7
21.52.1
19.321.4
Auto0.3
Teleop21.2
End0.0
Third
5086
#27
11.31.8
9.010.8
Auto0.3
Teleop11.0
End0.0
red by 6.5
5560
#40
4.82.1
3.96.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop4.9
End0.0