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Red66
522415.0
439815.4
497012.9
Blue57
516615.9
471517.5
566111.8
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions314102060801001201401606657

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4398
#13
15.41.9
11.413.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.5
End0.0
blue by 2.1
4715
#11
17.51.0
16.317.2
Auto0.7
Teleop16.8
End0.0
Second
5224
#24
15.01.9
12.314.2
Auto0.7
Teleop14.4
End0.0
blue by 0.8
5166
#19
15.91.0
16.217.2
Auto0.1
Teleop15.8
End0.0
Third
4970
#28
12.91.9
10.512.4
Auto0.5
Teleop12.4
End0.0
red by 1.2
5661
#26
11.81.0
8.99.9
Auto0.4
Teleop11.4
End0.0