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Red34
102533.1
519313.6
524710.2
Blue18
542413.3
51837.0
556219.3
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5536020801001201401603418

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.11.2
28.126.9
Auto1.7
Teleop31.5
End0.0
red by 13.8
5562
#12
19.31.0
19.518.5
Auto1.1
Teleop18.2
End0.0
Second
5193
#18
13.61.2
12.911.7
Auto0.6
Teleop13.0
End0.0
red by 0.3
5424
#20
13.31.0
15.014.0
Auto0.7
Teleop12.6
End0.0
Third
5247
#33
10.21.2
12.811.6
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.3
End0.0
red by 3.2
5183
#39
7.01.0
5.74.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop7.1
End0.0