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Red55
498316.7
571220.6
57148.5
Blue66
519313.6
515613.2
553812.8
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions453002060801001201401605566

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
20.60.6
20.421.0
Auto0.2
Teleop20.4
End0.0
red by 7.0
5193
#18
13.62.1
11.713.9
Auto0.6
Teleop13.0
End0.0
Second
16.70.6
16.016.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop16.9
End0.0
red by 3.5
5156
#23
13.22.1
11.113.2
Auto0.1
Teleop13.1
End0.0
Third
5714
#32
8.50.6
7.98.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop8.6
End0.0
blue by 4.3
5538
#25
12.82.1
10.612.8
Auto0.5
Teleop12.3
End0.0