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Red5
557515.1
542413.3
523110.0
Blue0
553812.8
360230.4
508611.3
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2532040608010012014050

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5575
#15
15.11.9
6.85.0
Auto0.5
Teleop14.6
End0.0
blue by 15.4
30.42.1
15.913.8
Auto0.8
Teleop29.6
End0.0
Second
5424
#20
13.31.9
7.96.0
Auto0.7
Teleop12.6
End0.0
red by 0.5
5538
#25
12.82.1
6.03.9
Auto0.5
Teleop12.3
End0.0
Third
5231
#36
10.01.9
12.710.8
Auto0.2
Teleop9.8
End0.0
blue by 1.3
5086
#27
11.32.1
9.87.7
Auto0.3
Teleop11.0
End0.0