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Red22
526022.4
570618.0
516615.9
Blue6
571220.6
524710.2
566111.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21270406080100120140226

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
22.40.4
6.67.0
Auto-0.0
Teleop22.4
End0.0
red by 1.8
20.621.2
27.96.7
Auto0.2
Teleop20.4
End0.0
Second
18.013.9
22.88.9
Auto0.3
Teleop17.8
End0.0
red by 6.2
5661
#26
11.81.8
7.96.2
Auto0.4
Teleop11.4
End0.0
Third
5166
#19
15.90.4
8.08.4
Auto0.1
Teleop15.8
End0.0
red by 5.7
5247
#33
10.21.8
11.09.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop10.3
End0.0