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Red10
357015.7
497012.9
124310.3
Blue26
439815.4
377021.5
550919.0
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions443102060801001201401601026

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3570
#31
15.72.8
12.19.3
Auto0.3
Teleop15.3
End0.0
blue by 5.8
21.50.7
14.113.4
Auto0.3
Teleop21.2
End0.0
Second
4970
#28
12.92.8
13.610.8
Auto0.5
Teleop12.4
End0.0
blue by 6.1
19.036.0
43.87.9
Auto2.0
Teleop17.0
End0.0
Third
1243
#35
10.32.8
17.915.1
Auto0.5
Teleop9.8
End0.0
blue by 5.1
4398
#13
15.40.7
11.410.7
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.5
End0.0