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Red92
102533.1
570618.0
124310.3
Blue62
557515.1
560323.7
50318.0
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions48520204060801001201409262

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.12.3
26.929.2
Auto1.7
Teleop31.5
End0.0
red by 9.4
23.70.5
20.621.1
Auto0.8
Teleop22.9
End0.0
Second
18.02.3
15.617.9
Auto0.3
Teleop17.8
End0.0
Level
503
#29
18.00.5
17.818.3
Auto0.4
Teleop17.7
End0.0
Third
1243
#35
10.32.3
8.210.5
Auto0.5
Teleop9.8
End0.0
blue by 4.8
5575
#15
15.10.5
14.815.3
Auto0.5
Teleop14.6
End0.0