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Red111
353828.0
353940.1
520116.4
Blue76
499423.9
516731.2
566211.3
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8460204010012014016011176

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.10.5
39.740.1
Auto0.4
Teleop39.7
End0.0
red by 8.9
31.20.3
30.931.2
Auto-0.4
Teleop31.6
End0.0
Second
28.00.5
27.528.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop28.3
End0.0
red by 4.0
4994
#18
23.90.3
23.723.9
Auto0.8
Teleop23.2
End0.0
Third
5201
#30
16.40.5
15.916.4
Auto1.4
Teleop15.0
End0.0
red by 5.0
5662
#35
11.30.3
11.111.3
Auto0.1
Teleop11.3
End0.0