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Red181
46960.8
3370.4
118818.9
Blue84
233746.2
22650.4
521718.5
84%Model gave it16%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1481025020025018184

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33
#1
70.40.6
69.069.6
Auto4.9
Teleop65.5
End0.0
red by 20.0
226
#3
50.40.4
49.849.4
Auto0.6
Teleop49.8
End0.0
Second
469
#2
60.80.6
59.460.0
Auto0.8
Teleop60.0
End0.0
red by 14.5
46.20.4
45.745.3
Auto5.4
Teleop40.8
End0.0
Third
1188
#24
18.90.6
17.618.2
Auto1.2
Teleop17.7
End0.0
red by 0.4
5217
#16
18.50.4
17.917.5
Auto1.2
Teleop17.2
End0.0