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Red6
507313.2
30966.8
118818.9
Blue66
496132.6
521718.5
555514.6
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions38300102050607080666

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1188
#24
18.91.6
14.212.6
Auto1.2
Teleop17.7
End0.0
blue by 13.7
4961
#10
32.61.7
20.722.4
Auto0.0
Teleop32.6
End0.0
Second
5073
#26
13.21.6
14.012.4
Auto0.1
Teleop13.1
End0.0
blue by 5.3
5217
#16
18.51.7
5.97.6
Auto1.2
Teleop17.2
End0.0
Third
3096
#41
6.81.6
9.88.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.9
End0.0
blue by 7.8
5555
#15
14.61.7
6.07.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop14.7
End0.0