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Red17
522310.9
48547.8
33027.2
Blue23
520116.4
481520.8
354812.9
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2039060801001201401723

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5223
#37
10.90.3
12.011.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop11.2
End0.0
blue by 9.9
4815
#14
20.80.7
13.012.2
Auto-0.5
Teleop21.3
End0.0
Second
4854
#36
7.80.3
4.94.6
Auto0.3
Teleop7.6
End0.0
blue by 8.6
5201
#30
16.40.7
11.610.9
Auto1.4
Teleop15.0
End0.0
Third
3302
#34
7.20.3
6.76.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop7.5
End0.0
blue by 5.7
3548
#33
12.90.7
12.912.1
Auto0.0
Teleop12.8
End0.0