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Red24
233746.2
353421.5
565014.0
Blue48
505332.1
555514.6
353828.0
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions754902040601001201401602448

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.22.2
41.639.4
Auto5.4
Teleop40.8
End0.0
red by 14.1
5053
#13
32.10.0
27.026.9
Auto-0.6
Teleop32.7
End0.0
Second
3534
#23
21.52.2
19.317.1
Auto0.4
Teleop21.1
End0.0
blue by 6.5
28.00.0
20.019.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop28.3
End0.0
Third
5650
#27
14.02.2
12.410.2
Auto0.4
Teleop13.6
End0.0
blue by 0.6
5555
#15
14.60.0
7.77.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop14.7
End0.0