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Red0
36196.5
354812.9
577413.3
Blue30
259117.7
438011.5
551729.1
19%Model gave it81%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1958050100150030

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5774
#19
13.30.7
11.010.4
Auto0.7
Teleop12.5
End0.0
blue by 15.8
29.11.2
25.224.0
Auto1.6
Teleop27.5
End0.0
Second
3548
#33
12.90.7
12.111.5
Auto0.0
Teleop12.8
End0.0
blue by 4.8
2591
#17
17.71.2
15.714.5
Auto0.3
Teleop17.5
End0.0
Third
3619
#40
6.50.7
2.61.9
Auto0.0
Teleop6.4
End0.0
blue by 5.1
4380
#39
11.51.2
13.312.1
Auto0.6
Teleop10.9
End0.0