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Red95
505332.1
506514.5
353421.5
Blue69
118818.9
81831.7
520116.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5349203040607080909569

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5053
#13
32.12.0
24.926.9
Auto-0.6
Teleop32.7
End0.0
red by 0.5
818
#11
31.70.9
28.429.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop31.8
End0.0
Second
3534
#23
21.52.0
18.820.9
Auto0.4
Teleop21.1
End0.0
red by 2.6
1188
#24
18.90.9
11.212.1
Auto1.2
Teleop17.7
End0.0
Third
5065
#22
14.52.0
10.812.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.7
End0.0
blue by 1.8
5201
#30
16.40.9
12.012.8
Auto1.4
Teleop15.0
End0.0