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Red32
507313.2
481520.8
33027.2
Blue100
481112.2
565014.0
353940.1
36%Model gave it64%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3253010015032100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4815
#14
20.80.2
13.813.5
Auto-0.5
Teleop21.3
End0.0
blue by 19.3
40.12.4
31.533.9
Auto0.4
Teleop39.7
End0.0
Second
5073
#26
13.20.2
14.414.1
Auto0.1
Teleop13.1
End0.0
blue by 0.8
5650
#27
14.02.4
10.713.1
Auto0.4
Teleop13.6
End0.0
Third
3302
#34
7.20.2
8.88.5
Auto-0.3
Teleop7.5
End0.0
blue by 5.0
4811
#29
12.22.4
9.512.0
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.4
End0.0