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Red91
24724.6
555514.6
481520.8
Blue44
353421.5
33027.2
33987.8
64%Model gave it36%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions423402060809144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
247
#20
24.62.4
18.220.6
Auto0.4
Teleop24.3
End0.0
red by 3.2
3534
#23
21.50.4
19.720.1
Auto0.4
Teleop21.1
End0.0
Second
4815
#14
20.82.4
12.915.3
Auto-0.5
Teleop21.3
End0.0
red by 13.1
3398
#31
7.80.4
8.99.3
Auto-0.4
Teleop8.2
End0.0
Third
5555
#15
14.62.4
11.413.8
Auto-0.2
Teleop14.7
End0.0
red by 7.4
3302
#34
7.20.4
8.28.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop7.5
End0.0