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Red112
354812.9
46960.8
413028.2
Blue144
521718.5
3370.4
520116.4
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9074204060100120140160112144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
469
#2
60.81.1
53.754.8
Auto0.8
Teleop60.0
End0.0
blue by 9.6
33
#1
70.43.5
57.360.8
Auto4.9
Teleop65.5
End0.0
Second
4130
#21
28.21.1
25.426.4
Auto0.2
Teleop28.0
End0.0
red by 9.7
5217
#16
18.53.5
9.212.8
Auto1.2
Teleop17.2
End0.0
Third
3548
#33
12.91.1
11.512.6
Auto0.0
Teleop12.8
End0.0
blue by 3.5
5201
#30
16.43.5
12.716.3
Auto1.4
Teleop15.0
End0.0