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Red40
81831.7
30966.8
48408.0
Blue47
259117.7
353828.0
522310.9
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions435401001502002503004047

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
818
#11
31.70.3
31.931.6
Auto-0.2
Teleop31.8
End0.0
red by 3.7
28.00.4
27.527.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop28.3
End0.0
Second
4840
#38
8.00.3
8.27.9
Auto0.0
Teleop8.0
End0.0
blue by 9.7
2591
#17
17.70.4
15.114.7
Auto0.3
Teleop17.5
End0.0
Third
3096
#41
6.80.3
6.25.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.9
End0.0
blue by 4.1
5223
#37
10.90.4
11.411.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop11.2
End0.0