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Red83
353940.1
22650.4
33027.2
Blue60
353828.0
496132.6
353421.5
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions9672501508360

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
226
#3
50.40.6
47.646.9
Auto0.6
Teleop49.8
End0.0
red by 17.7
4961
#10
32.60.9
31.430.4
Auto0.0
Teleop32.6
End0.0
Second
40.10.6
39.338.7
Auto0.4
Teleop39.7
End0.0
red by 12.2
28.00.9
27.226.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop28.3
End0.0
Third
3302
#34
7.20.6
8.68.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop7.5
End0.0
blue by 14.3
3534
#23
21.50.9
20.119.2
Auto0.4
Teleop21.1
End0.0