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Red108
259117.7
233746.2
48547.8
Blue100
504834.6
118818.9
506514.5
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5952204080100120108100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
46.22.4
41.043.4
Auto5.4
Teleop40.8
End0.0
red by 11.7
34.62.3
28.831.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop34.9
End0.0
Second
2591
#17
17.72.4
14.717.1
Auto0.3
Teleop17.5
End0.0
blue by 1.2
1188
#24
18.92.3
12.915.2
Auto1.2
Teleop17.7
End0.0
Third
4854
#36
7.82.4
4.46.8
Auto0.3
Teleop7.6
End0.0
blue by 6.7
5065
#22
14.52.3
13.115.3
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.7
End0.0