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Red97
521718.5
353940.1
504834.6
Blue74
353828.0
24724.6
48547.8
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions864601001502009774

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
40.10.7
38.739.4
Auto0.4
Teleop39.7
End0.0
red by 12.2
28.01.0
26.327.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop28.3
End0.0
Second
34.60.7
31.031.8
Auto-0.3
Teleop34.9
End0.0
red by 9.9
247
#20
24.61.0
20.821.8
Auto0.4
Teleop24.3
End0.0
Third
5217
#16
18.50.7
12.813.5
Auto1.2
Teleop17.2
End0.0
red by 10.6
4854
#36
7.81.0
6.87.8
Auto0.3
Teleop7.6
End0.0