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Red47
33987.8
81831.7
354812.9
Blue67
233746.2
118818.9
523913.3
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions477401001502004767

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
818
#11
31.70.3
31.631.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop31.8
End0.0
blue by 14.6
46.20.3
43.443.2
Auto5.4
Teleop40.8
End0.0
Second
3548
#33
12.90.3
13.212.9
Auto0.0
Teleop12.8
End0.0
blue by 6.0
1188
#24
18.90.3
15.214.9
Auto1.2
Teleop17.7
End0.0
Third
3398
#31
7.80.3
8.07.8
Auto-0.4
Teleop8.2
End0.0
blue by 5.5
5239
#28
13.30.3
13.613.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop13.5
End0.0