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Red21
520116.4
267611.2
481112.2
Blue74
30966.8
22650.4
555514.6
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions34690501001502174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5201
#30
16.40.7
16.415.7
Auto1.4
Teleop15.0
End0.0
blue by 34.0
226
#3
50.40.4
46.947.3
Auto0.6
Teleop49.8
End0.0
Second
4811
#29
12.20.7
12.912.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop12.4
End0.0
blue by 2.4
5555
#15
14.60.4
13.113.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop14.7
End0.0
Third
2676
#32
11.20.7
11.911.2
Auto-0.2
Teleop11.4
End0.0
red by 4.4
3096
#41
6.80.4
6.46.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop6.9
End0.0