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Red42
439823.9
376726.3
557515.4
Blue76
550521.0
553424.9
521321.9
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions66644060801004276

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.30.4
26.826.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop26.5
End0.0
red by 1.3
24.90.1
24.925.0
Auto0.1
Teleop24.8
End0.0
Second
23.90.4
24.524.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop24.1
End0.0
red by 2.1
5213
#11
21.90.1
21.922.0
Auto0.6
Teleop21.3
End0.0
Third
5575
#28
15.40.4
15.915.5
Auto1.4
Teleop13.9
End0.0
blue by 5.6
5505
#12
21.00.1
21.021.1
Auto0.7
Teleop20.3
End0.0