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Red73
247423.0
159627.0
507214.1
Blue81
508616.8
439126.4
511017.8
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions60552040801001207381

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1596
#10
27.00.2
26.126.3
Auto0.3
Teleop26.6
End0.0
red by 0.5
26.40.4
25.425.8
Auto0.9
Teleop25.6
End0.0
Second
2474
#20
23.00.2
22.222.3
Auto0.4
Teleop22.7
End0.0
red by 5.2
5110
#32
17.80.4
16.817.2
Auto0.2
Teleop17.7
End0.0
Third
5072
#25
14.10.2
13.313.5
Auto0.2
Teleop13.9
End0.0
blue by 2.6
5086
#21
16.80.4
15.816.1
Auto0.3
Teleop16.5
End0.0