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Red80
159627.0
5135.7
569221.0
Blue87
557515.4
439216.9
556226.4
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions514602060801001201408087

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
51
#3
35.72.3
27.629.9
Auto0.7
Teleop35.0
End0.0
red by 9.3
26.41.9
19.421.3
Auto1.1
Teleop25.3
End0.0
Second
1596
#10
27.02.3
10.412.7
Auto0.3
Teleop26.6
End0.0
red by 10.1
4392
#22
16.93.2
13.516.7
Auto1.2
Teleop15.6
End0.0
Third
5692
#17
21.02.3
14.116.4
Auto-0.2
Teleop21.1
End0.0
red by 5.6
5575
#28
15.41.9
15.717.6
Auto1.4
Teleop13.9
End0.0