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Red28
521321.9
361822.8
317515.0
Blue54
9414.4
86237.5
508616.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions415601001502002854

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3618
#14
22.81.4
18.717.3
Auto0.1
Teleop22.7
End0.0
blue by 14.7
862
#2
37.50.1
31.531.4
Auto0.3
Teleop37.2
End0.0
Second
5213
#11
21.90.8
14.513.7
Auto0.6
Teleop21.3
End0.0
red by 5.1
5086
#21
16.80.1
11.211.1
Auto0.3
Teleop16.5
End0.0
Third
3175
#35
15.01.4
11.29.8
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.1
End0.0
red by 0.6
94
#18
14.40.1
13.012.9
Auto0.6
Teleop13.8
End0.0