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Red2
51756.2
518311.3
353714.6
Blue72
52479.5
90422.7
171131.0
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions25520406080100120140160272

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3537
#33
14.62.3
11.39.0
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.8
End0.0
blue by 16.4
31.01.1
23.224.3
Auto-0.4
Teleop31.4
End0.0
Second
5183
#37
11.31.4
6.85.4
Auto0.5
Teleop10.8
End0.0
blue by 11.3
904
#16
22.71.9
17.018.9
Auto0.9
Teleop21.8
End0.0
Third
5175
#38
6.22.3
11.69.3
Auto0.3
Teleop5.9
End0.0
blue by 3.4
5247
#39
9.51.1
9.210.3
Auto-0.3
Teleop9.8
End0.0