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Red32
437612.8
523016.4
24541.9
Blue35
388612.7
189618.0
376726.3
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions573601001503235

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
245
#1
41.91.2
33.132.0
Auto1.3
Teleop40.6
End0.0
red by 15.6
26.30.3
15.315.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop26.5
End0.0
Second
5230
#24
16.42.0
6.54.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop16.6
End0.0
blue by 1.7
1896
#31
18.00.3
16.215.9
Auto0.5
Teleop17.5
End0.0
Third
4376
#36
12.82.0
15.914.0
Auto-0.3
Teleop13.1
End0.0
red by 0.1
3886
#26
12.70.3
9.28.9
Auto0.3
Teleop12.4
End0.0