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Red25
531414.7
437612.8
557515.4
Blue22
52479.5
189618.0
368827.7
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions415001001502002522

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5575
#28
15.40.9
17.616.7
Auto1.4
Teleop13.9
End0.0
blue by 12.3
3688
#13
27.72.3
23.921.6
Auto0.3
Teleop27.4
End0.0
Second
5314
#29
14.71.6
12.210.6
Auto0.1
Teleop14.6
End0.0
blue by 3.3
1896
#31
18.01.4
15.914.5
Auto0.5
Teleop17.5
End0.0
Third
4376
#36
12.81.6
14.012.4
Auto-0.3
Teleop13.1
End0.0
red by 3.3
5247
#39
9.51.4
10.38.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop9.8
End0.0