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Red51
498818.9
556226.4
368827.7
Blue53
5135.7
550521.0
52479.5
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5839020801001201401605153

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3688
#13
27.70.5
20.920.4
Auto0.3
Teleop27.4
End0.0
blue by 8.0
51
#3
35.70.8
24.925.6
Auto0.7
Teleop35.0
End0.0
Second
26.40.3
19.319.0
Auto1.1
Teleop25.3
End0.0
red by 5.4
5505
#12
21.032.0
41.49.3
Auto0.7
Teleop20.3
End0.0
Third
4988
#19
18.90.5
17.116.6
Auto0.5
Teleop18.4
End0.0
red by 9.4
5247
#39
9.50.5
10.210.7
Auto-0.3
Teleop9.8
End0.0