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Red18
518311.3
439126.4
36037.5
Blue59
361822.8
556226.4
508616.8
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29510204060801001201401601859

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
26.41.3
21.219.9
Auto0.9
Teleop25.6
End0.0
Level
26.40.8
21.221.9
Auto1.1
Teleop25.3
End0.0
Second
5183
#37
11.30.8
5.44.6
Auto0.5
Teleop10.8
End0.0
blue by 11.4
3618
#14
22.81.3
17.318.6
Auto0.1
Teleop22.7
End0.0
Third
3603
#40
7.51.3
7.36.0
Auto0.6
Teleop6.9
End0.0
blue by 9.3
5086
#21
16.80.8
11.212.0
Auto0.3
Teleop16.5
End0.0