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Red52
247423.0
52479.5
522315.2
Blue96
159627.0
24541.9
556011.4
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions344801001505296

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2474
#20
23.01.2
18.419.7
Auto0.4
Teleop22.7
End0.0
blue by 18.9
245
#1
41.92.4
30.933.3
Auto1.3
Teleop40.6
End0.0
Second
5223
#23
15.21.2
10.211.4
Auto0.1
Teleop15.1
End0.0
blue by 11.7
1596
#10
27.04.0
13.117.2
Auto0.3
Teleop26.6
End0.0
Third
5247
#39
9.50.7
8.99.6
Auto-0.3
Teleop9.8
End0.0
blue by 1.9
5560
#27
11.42.4
3.86.2
Auto0.4
Teleop11.0
End0.0