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Red39
511017.8
437612.8
570910.0
Blue36
518311.3
521321.9
439216.9
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30380501001503936

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5110
#32
17.80.5
11.512.1
Auto0.2
Teleop17.7
End0.0
blue by 4.1
5213
#11
21.90.1
17.317.2
Auto0.6
Teleop21.3
End0.0
Second
4376
#36
12.80.5
12.412.9
Auto-0.3
Teleop13.1
End0.0
blue by 4.1
4392
#22
16.90.2
16.616.4
Auto1.2
Teleop15.6
End0.0
Third
5709
#34
10.00.5
8.79.3
Auto-0.2
Teleop10.2
End0.0
blue by 1.3
5183
#37
11.30.1
4.64.5
Auto0.5
Teleop10.8
End0.0