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Red49
86237.5
36037.5
247423.0
Blue36
569221.0
507214.1
90422.7
66%Model gave it34%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5843020801001201404936

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
862
#2
37.50.5
32.532.0
Auto0.3
Teleop37.2
End0.0
red by 14.8
904
#16
22.70.9
21.220.3
Auto0.9
Teleop21.8
End0.0
Second
2474
#20
23.00.8
19.718.9
Auto0.4
Teleop22.7
End0.0
red by 2.1
5692
#17
21.00.9
17.616.7
Auto-0.2
Teleop21.1
End0.0
Third
3603
#40
7.50.8
6.05.2
Auto0.6
Teleop6.9
End0.0
blue by 6.7
5072
#25
14.10.9
8.07.1
Auto0.2
Teleop13.9
End0.0