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Red44
439823.9
317515.0
498818.9
Blue74
523016.4
353714.6
189618.0
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions423002060801001201404474

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
23.90.4
19.820.2
Auto-0.1
Teleop24.1
End0.0
red by 5.9
1896
#31
18.02.7
14.917.6
Auto0.5
Teleop17.5
End0.0
Second
4988
#19
18.90.7
12.813.4
Auto0.5
Teleop18.4
End0.0
red by 2.6
5230
#24
16.44.4
5.810.2
Auto-0.3
Teleop16.6
End0.0
Third
3175
#35
15.00.7
9.410.1
Auto-0.1
Teleop15.1
End0.0
red by 0.4
3537
#33
14.64.4
12.016.5
Auto-0.1
Teleop14.8
End0.0